Free MLB Picks Today: Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers 9/25/22

Free MLB Picks Today: Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers 9/25/22
Sun 25th September 2022

The Milwaukee Brewers (82-70) are on the road to face the Cincinnati Reds (59-93) at Great American Ball Park on Sunday with the visitors looking for a sweep of the four-game series. The Brewers lead the series 3-0 after winning 10-2 on Saturday, their fifth straight head-to-head victory and 13th in 18 games this season. Corbin Burnes got the win, allowing two runs on four hits over 6.1 innings and striking out eight. Hunter Renfroe was 4 for 5 with two home runs, three runs, and five RBIs in the win. Rowdy Tellez added a home run and three runs. Stuart Fairchild went 1 for 3 with one run for the Reds.

ON THE MOUND

Freddy Peralta (4-3, 3.69 ERA) is in line to get the start for Milwaukee. The right-hander threw two no-hit innings in his last start, a 4-2 home win over the Giants on September 8. He struck out three and walking two in the no-decision. Over two previous starts against the Reds this season, Peralta has allowed four earned runs over 10.2 innings (2-0, 3.38). He has struck out 15 and walked three. For Cincinnati, southpaw Nick Lodolo (4-7, 3.90 ERA) will toe the rubber. He has made two appearances against the Brewers this season, both as the starter, giving up five runs over 12.2 innings (1-0, 3.55) with 15 strikeouts and four walks. In his last start on Tuesday, Lodolo took the loss at home against the Red Sox. He threw five innings and gave up three runs on three hits, striking out seven and walking three in the 5-3 defeat.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Milwaukee has averaged 6.2 runs a game, up from their season average of 4.6, while performing better across the board (.264/.344/.448). Against lefties like Lodolo this season, the Brew Crew have a .665 OPS. Renfroe is the team’s best hitter against left-handers with a .773 OPS in 107 at-bats. Cincinnati is averaging only 2.8 runs per game in the last five, down from 4.1 for the season, with their slash line falling across the board (.204/.282/.280). The Reds have a .671 OPS against righties in 2022, fourth lowest in MLB. With a .616 OPS over 355 at-bats, Kyle Farmer has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Milwaukee is 40-40 away from American Family Field in 2022, scoring 4.5 runs per game while allowing 4.6 runs. Cincinnati has gone 30-47 at Great American Ball Park this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game while surrendering 5.2. In the last 10 meetings at Great American Ball Park, Milwaukee is 8-2 with an average scoreline of 6.7-4.4.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Brewers are second in the NL Central, six games behind the division-leading Cardinals. They are fourth in the Wild Card race, one games out of third. The Reds are fourth in the NL Central, 29 games behind the Cardinals.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Milwaukee Brewers (-155)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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