The early total has been set at 7.5 runs with the over a -120 favorite. The White Sox (81-80) lead the series 2-0 after winning 8-3 on Tuesday, their ninth head-to-head victory in 18 games this season. Starter Lucas Giolito went seven innings for the win, giving up two runs on two hits. Elvis Andrus went 2 for 4 with a home run, two runs, and three RBIs in the win. Jermaine Palacios was 1 for 3 with a solo home run for the Twins (77-84).
ON THE MOUND
Louie Varland (0-2, 5.06 ERA) is in line to take the mound for Minnesota. The LHP matches up against the White Sox in back-to-back starts. On Thursday, he allowed two runs over five innings, a 4-3 road defeat. He gave up three hits while striking out three and walking two in the no-decision. For Chicago, LHP Davis Martin (3-5, 3.86 ERA) takes the mound. He has made one prior appearance against the Twins this season, holding opposing hitters scoreless over five innings in a 4-3 home win on September 2. He gave up three hits and walked one, while striking out two in the no-decision. In his last start on Friday, Martin got the win on the road against the Padres. He threw 5.2 innings and gave up one run on six hits, striking out eight, in the 3-1 triumph.
AT THE PLATE
Over the last five games, Minnesota has averaged only 3.2 runs a game, down from their season average of 4.3, while performing worse across the board (.224/.312/.333). Against southpaws like Martin this season, the Twins have a .702 OPS. Carlos Correa is the team’s most potent producer against left-handers with a .945 OPS in 134 at-bats. Chicago is averaging only 3.6 runs per game in the last five, down slightly from 4.3 for the season. The Sox have a .767 OPS against southpaws in 2022. With a .935 OPS over 126 at-bats, AJ Pollock has been their best hitter against left-handers.
HOME AND AWAY
Minnesota is on a four-game losing streak away from Target Field, bringing their record to 31-49 in 2022. The Twins have scored 4.3 runs per game away from home, while allowing 4.6 runs. Chicago has gone 37-43 at home this season, averaging 4.1 runs per game while surrendering 5.1. In the last 10 games at Guaranteed Rate Field between the AL Central rivals, Chicago is 6-4 with an average scoreline of 5.4-4.7.
STANDINGS UPDATE
The Twins are third in the AL Central, 14 games behind the division-leading Guardians. They are sixth in the Wild Card race, nine games out of third. The White Sox are second in the AL Central, 10 games behind the Guardians. They are fifth in the Wild Card race, five games out of a postseason position.
SportsTips’ MLB Pick:
Chicago White Sox (-145)
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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.
