Free MLB Picks Today: Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins 10/3/22

Free MLB Picks Today: Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins 10/3/22
Mon 3rd October 2022

The Minnesota Twins (77-82) are on the road to face the Chicago White Sox (79-80) at Guaranteed Rate Field on Monday to open a three-game series. The Twins are in the midst of a six-game road trip. They won only one out of three in their last series against the Tigers, dropping the finale 5-2 on Sunday at Comerica Park. Carlos Correa was 2 for 3 with a double and one RBI, extending his on-base streak to 19 games. Gilberto Celestino added one run on two walks. The White Sox just wrapped up a six-game road trip (3-3). They won two of three against the Padres in their last series, taking the finale 2-1 on Sunday at Petco Park. Elvis Andrus went 1 for 4 with a solo home run.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Twins have won nine of 16 in the season series between the AL Central rivals, although they dropped a close one 4-3 in their last meeting on Thursday at Target Field. Reynaldo Lopez got the win with one scoreless inning out of the bullpen, and Liam Hendriks picked up his 34th save with a scoreless ninth.

ON THE MOUND

Bailey Ober (2-3, 3.71 ERA) is slated for the start for Minnesota. The right-hander is matched up against the White Sox for the second start in a row. He threw 7.1 scoreless innings on Tuesday, a 4-0 road win. He was credited with the win, scattering two hits while striking out 10 and walking one. Over two previous starts against the White Sox this season, Ober has allowed only one earned runs over 12.1 innings (1-0, 0.73). He has struck out 16 and walked one. RHP Johnny Cueto (7-10, 3.39 ERA) will toe the rubber for Chicago. He has made three appearances against the Twins this season, all as the starter, giving up nine runs over 17.2 innings (1-1, 4.58) with 15 strikeouts and eight walks. In his last start on Wednesday, Cueto took the loss on the road against the Twins. He threw 5.2 innings and gave up six runs on 10 hits, striking out seven and walking one in the 8-4 defeat.

AT THE PLATE

The Minnesota offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game for the season, with a slash line of .249/.318/.403. Correa leads the team in OPS at .826. The shortstop is slashing .287/.362/.464 with 22 home runs, 64 RBIs, and 70 runs over 134 games. Against right-handed pitchers like Cueto this season, the Twins have a .727 OPS. Luis Arraez is the team’s best hitter against right-handers with a .818 OPS in 430 at-bats. Chicago is slashing .257/.312/.388 for the season and averaging 4.2 runs per game. Jose Abreu leads the team with a .823 OPS. The first baseman has 15 home runs, 75 RBIs, and 84 runs scored with a slash line of .305/.378/.445. Chicago is averaging only 3.0 runs per game in the last five with their slash line falling across the board (.212/.249/.315). The Sox have a .679 OPS against right-handers in 2022. With a .825 OPS over 469 at-bats, Abreu also has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Minnesota is 31-47 away from home in 2022, scoring 4.3 runs per game while allowing 4.6 runs. Chicago has lost seven in a row at home. The Sox are 35-43 at home this season, averaging 4.1 runs per game while surrendering 5.1. In the last 10 meetings at Guaranteed Rate Field, each club has won five, though Chicago has the scoring advantage with an average final margin of 5.0-4.8.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Twins are third in the AL Central, 12 games behind the division-leading Guardians. They are sixth in the Wild Card race, nine games out of third. The White Sox are second in the AL Central, 11 games behind the Guardians. They are fifth in the Wild Card race, eight games out of a postseason position.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Minnesota Twins (-105)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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