Free MLB Picks Today: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays 10/3/22

Free MLB Picks Today: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays 10/3/22
Mon 3rd October 2022

The Tampa Bay Rays (86-73) are on the road to face the Boston Red Sox (75-84) at Fenway Park on Monday for the opener of a three-game series. The Rays are kicking off the final series of their nine-game road trip. They won only one out of three in their last series against the Astros, dropping the finale 3-1 on Sunday at Minute Maid Park. Ji-Man Choi was 2 for 3 with a double and one run. The Red Sox are coming off a three-game sweep at the hands of the Blue Jays, dropping the finale 6-3 on Sunday at Rogers Centre. Bobby Dalbec went 2 for 4 with a home run and three RBIs.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Rays have won 12 of 16 in the season series between the AL East rivals, including a 1-0 victory in their most recent meeting on September 7 at Tropicana Field. Yonny Chirinos got the win with three scoreless innings out of the bullpen, and Pete Fairbanks earned his sixth save with a scoreless ninth.

ON THE MOUND

Tyler Glasnow (0-0, 3.00 ERA) is in line for the start for Tampa Bay. The right-hander allowed one run over three innings in his last start, a 2-1 home defeat against the Guardians on Wednesday. He scattered two hits while striking out three and walking one in the no-decision. Glasnow is making his first appearance against the Red Sox this season. Glasnow made one start against the Red Sox in 2021, a 6-5 road loss on April 6. He surrendered one run on four hits over six innings, striking out nine and walking two. For Boston, lefty Rich Hill (8-7, 4.41 ERA) is on the mound. He has made three appearances against the Rays this season, all as the starter, giving up five runs over 15 innings (1-1, 3.00) with 15 strikeouts and five walks. In his last start on Wednesday, Hill got the win at home against the Orioles. He threw six scoreless innings and gave up five hits, striking out nine and walking one in the 3-1 triumph.

AT THE PLATE

The Tampa Bay offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game for the season, with a slash line of .240/.309/.378. Yandy Diaz leads the team in OPS at .828. The third baseman is slashing .297/.403/.425 with nine home runs, 57 RBIs, and 71 runs over 136 games. Over the last five games, however, Tampa Bay has averaged only 2.2 runs a game while performing worse across the board (.184/.269/.258). Against southpaws like Hill this season, the Rays have a .712 OPS. Randy Arozarena is the team’s most potent producer against left-handers with a .946 OPS in 117 at-bats. Boston is slashing .257/.321/.409 for the season and averaging 4.5 runs per game. Rafael Devers leads the team with a .875 OPS. The third baseman has 27 home runs, 87 RBIs, and 81 runs scored with a slash line of .293/.356/.519. Boston is averaging only 2.2 runs per game in the last five with their slash line slipping across the board (.203/.246/.329). The Sox have a .723 OPS against right-handers in 2022. With a .922 OPS over 401 at-bats, Devers also has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Tampa Bay is 35-43 in road games in 2022, scoring 4.2 runs per game while allowing 4.1 runs. Boston has won three in a row at their home ballpark. The Sox are 40-38 at home this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game while surrendering 5.2. In the last 10 games at Fenway Park between the teams, Boston is 6-4 despite an average scoreline favoring Tampa Bay (5.8-4.8).

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Rays are third in the AL East, 11 games behind the division-leading Yankees. They currently occupy one of the Wild Card spots, sitting third with a magic number of zero. The Red Sox are fifth in the AL East, 22 games behind the Yankees.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Tampa Bay Rays (-145)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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