Free MLB Picks Today: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles 9/26/22

Free MLB Picks Today: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles 9/26/22
Mon 26th September 2022

The Baltimore Orioles (-170) are on the road to face the Boston Red Sox (+145) at Fenway Park on Monday to open a four-game series. Don’t be surprised to see plenty of runs with the early total at 9.5 runs. The Orioles (79-73) are kicking off a seven-game road trip after closing out a seven-game homestand (3-4). They split their last series against the Astros, dropping the finale 6-3 on Sunday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Ryan Mountcastle was 2 for 4 with a double and one run. The Red Sox (72-80) are back home after a tough six-game road trip (1-5). They were just swept in four games against the Yankees, dropping the finale 2-0 on Sunday at Yankee Stadium for their fifth straight loss. Rob Refsnyder had Boston’s only hit, going 1 for 2 with a double.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Orioles have won eight of 15 in the season series between the AL East rivals, although they dropped a close one 1-0 in their last meeting on September 11 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Starter Rich Hill threw five scoreless innings- striking out seven – for the win, and Matt Barnes earned his fifth save with a scoreless ninth.

ON THE MOUND

Jordan Lyles (11-11, 4.50 ERA) is in line for the start for Baltimore. The RHP threw a complete game in his last start in an 8-1 road victory over the Tigers on Wednesday. He gave up one run on three hits en route to the win. Over four previous starts against the Red Sox this season, Lyles has allowed 16 earned runs over 18 innings (1-1, 8.00). He has struck out 15 and walked five. Righty Connor Seabold (0-3, 10.47 ERA) is on the mound for Boston. It’s his first appearance of the season against the Orioles. In his last start on Wednesday, Seabold took the loss on the road against the Reds. He threw five innings and gave up four runs on six hits, striking out four and walking one in the 5-1 defeat.

AT THE PLATE

The Baltimore offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game for the season, with a slash line of .236/.304/.388. Anthony Santander leads the team in OPS at .772. The right fielder is slashing .246/.322/.449 with 29 home runs, 82 RBIs, and 71 runs over 143 games. Over the last five games, however, Baltimore has averaged 5.8 runs a game while performing better across the board (.282/.317/.401). Against righties like Seabold this season, the O’s have a .701 OPS. Cedric Mullins is the team’s most potent producer against right-handers with a .794 OPS in 399 at-bats. Boston is slashing .258/.321/.410 for the season and averaging 4.5 runs per game. Rafael Devers leads the team with a .872 OPS. The third baseman has 27 home runs, 84 RBIs, and 80 runs scored with a slash line of .289/.351/.521. Boston is averaging only 2.8 runs per game in the last five with their slash line slipping across the board (.203/.278/.359). The Sox have a .720 OPS against right-handers in 2022. With a .920 OPS over 382 at-bats, Devers also has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Baltimore is 35-39 away from home in 2022, scoring 4.0 runs per game while allowing 4.2 runs. Boston has gone 37-37 at home this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game while surrendering 5.1. Boston is 7-3 in the last 10 games at Fenway Park between the teams with an average scoreline of 6.1-4.6.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Orioles are fourth in the AL East, 15 games behind the division-leading Yankees. They are fourth in the Wild Card race, four games out of third. The Red Sox are fifth in the AL East, 22 games behind the Yankees.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Baltimore Orioles

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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