Free MLB Picks Today: Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays 10/4/22

Free MLB Picks Today: Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays 10/4/22
Tue 4th October 2022

The Toronto Blue Jays (+150) are on the road to face the Baltimore Orioles (-180) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Tuesday. The early total has been set at 7.5 with the under a -120 favorite. The Blue Jays (91-69) took Monday’s series opener 5-1, their fourth straight victory overall and ninth in 17 games against the Orioles this season. Jose Berrios got the win, allowing one run on three hits over six innings, and Tim Mayza earned his second save with a scoreless ninth. Whit Merrifield was 3 for 3 with one run and two RBIs in the win. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. added a solo home run. Jorge Mateo went 1 for 3 with one run for the Orioles (82-78).

ON THE MOUND

Mitch White (1-6, 5.21 ERA) is slated to get the start for Toronto. The righty allowed three runs over 3.2 innings in his last start, an 8-3 road defeat against the Yankees on Wednesday. He gave up five hits while striking out one and walking three in the no-decision. White has made one previous start against the Orioles this season, a 9-6 road loss on September 6. He surrendered five runs on three hits over 2.1 innings, striking out two and walking three. For Baltimore, right-hander Mike Baumann (1-3, 4.32 ERA) will toe the rubber. He has made two appearances against the Blue Jays this season, including one start, giving up three runs over seven innings (0-1, 3.86) with four strikeouts and no walks. In his last start on Thursday, Baumann took a no-decision on the road against the Red Sox. He threw four innings and gave up two runs on six hits, striking out two, in the 5-3 defeat.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Toronto has averaged 6.6 runs a game, up from their season average of 4.8, while performing better across the board (.335/.389/.553). Against right-handed pitchers like Baumann this season, the Jays have a .763 OPS, second highest in the league. Alejandro Kirk has been the team’s biggest on-base threat against right-handers with a .379 OBP in 524 at-bats. Baltimore is averaging only 1.8 runs per game in the last five, down from 4.2 for the season, with their slash line dropping across the board (.178/.277/.257). The O’s have a .708 OPS against right-handers in 2022. With a .789 OPS over 422 at-bats, Cedric Mullins has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Toronto is on a three-game winning streak away from Rogers Centre, bringing their record to 44-35 in 2022. The Jays have scored 5.2 runs per game away from home, while allowing 4.0 runs. Baltimore has lost three in a row at their home park. The O’s are 44-35 at home this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game while surrendering 4.1. Toronto is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings at Oriole Park at Camden Yards with an average scoreline of 8.3-5.0.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Blue Jays are second in the AL East, seven games behind the division-leading Yankees. They currently occupy one of the Wild Card spots, sitting first with a magic number of zero. The Orioles are fourth in the AL East, 16 games behind the Yankees. They are fourth in the Wild Card race, four games out of a postseason position.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Toronto Blue Jays (-115)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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