Free MLB Picks Today: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 10/1/22

Free MLB Picks Today: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 10/1/22
Sat 1st October 2022

The New York Mets (+145) are on the road to face the Atlanta Braves (-170) at Truist Park on Saturday. Look out for a low-scoring affair with the early total at 6.5 runs (O: -125 | U: +105). The Braves (98-59) took Friday’s series opener 5-2, their eighth head-to-head victory in 17 games this season. Starter Max Fried went five innings, allowing one run on four hits, to get the win, and Kenley Jansen struck out the side in the ninth to earn his 38th save. Matt Olson went 2 for 3 with a home run and two runs in the win. Orlando Arcia added a double and one RBI. Tomas Nido was 1 for 3 with a solo home run for the Mets (98-59).


Max Scherzer (11-4, 2.13 ERA) is set to get the start for New York. The RHP allowed one run over six innings in his last start, a 13-4 road win over the Athletics on Sunday. He got the win, giving up four hits while striking out seven and walking one. Over three previous starts against the Braves this season, Scherzer has allowed only five earned runs over 20.1 innings (3-0, 2.21). He has struck out 28 and walked three. Righty Kyle Wright (20-5, 3.18 ERA) takes the mound for Atlanta. He has made two appearances against the Mets this season, both starts, giving up nine runs over 13 innings (0-2, 6.23) with seven strikeouts and three walks. In his last start on September 24, Wright got the win on the road against the Phillies. He threw 5.1 innings and gave up two runs on two hits, striking out six and walking two in the 6-3 triumph. The RHP is tied for the league lead in wins.


Over the last five games, New York has averaged 5.6 runs a game, a small gain compared to their season average of 4.8. Against righties like Wright this season, the Mets have a .751 OPS, fourth highest in the league. Pete Alonso is the team’s most productive hitter against right-handers with a .874 OPS in 440 at-bats. Atlanta is averaging 6.2 runs per game in the last five, up from 4.9 for the season, with a stronger slugging percentage (.475 vs .444). The Braves have a .752 OPS against right-handers in 2022, third highest in the league. With a .486 SLG over 460 at-bats, Olson has been their best power hitter against right-handers.


New York is 47-32 in away games in 2022, scoring 4.9 runs per game while allowing 4.2 runs. Atlanta has gone 53-26 at home this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game while surrendering 3.5. Atlanta is 7-3 in the last 10 games between the NL East rivals at Truist Park with an average scoreline of 5.2-3.1.


The Mets lead the NL East by zero games over the Braves. Their magic number to clinch the division is six. The Braves currently occupy one of the Wild Card spots, sitting first with a magic number of zero.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Atlanta Braves (+105)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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