Free MLB Picks Today: Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres 9/18/22

Free MLB Picks Today: Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres 9/18/22
Sun 18th September 2022

Jake McCarthy will be looking to extend his 19-game on-base streak as the Arizona Diamondbacks (-125) host the San Diego Padres (+105) at Chase Field on Sunday with the home team looking to split the four-game series. The early total has been set at 8 (O: -120 | U: +100). The Padres (80-66) lead the series 2-1 after winning 2-0 on Saturday, their 13th head-to-head victory in 18 games this season. Joe Musgrove threw six scoreless innings- striking out eight – for the win, and Josh Hader earned his 33rd save with a scoreless ninth. Luis Campusano was 2 for 3 with a solo home run in the win. Jake Cronenworth added a double and one run, walking twice. McCarthy went 2 for 4 with a double for the Diamondbacks (68-77).


Yu Darvish (14-7, 3.16 ERA) is in line for the start for San Diego. The righty threw eight scoreless innings in his last start, a 2-0 home win over the Mariners on Tuesday. He got the win, yielding two hits while striking out seven. Over four previous starts against the Diamondbacks this season, Darvish has allowed only seven earned runs over 26 innings (3-0, 2.42). He has struck out 23 and walked 11.Righty Ryne Nelson (1-0, 0.00 ERA) will toe the rubber for Arizona. He has made one prior start against the Padres this season, holding opposing hitters scoreless over seven innings in a 5-0 road win on September 5. He gave up four hits while striking out seven in the win. In his last start on Monday, Nelson took a no-decision at home against the Dodgers. He threw six scoreless innings and gave up two hits, striking out six and walking two in the 6-0 defeat.


Over the last five games, San Diego has averaged 3.4 runs a game, a small drop compared to their season average of 4.4. Against righties like Nelson this season, the Padres have a .696 OPS. Juan Soto has the team’s best on-base percentage against right-handers at .426 over 373 at-bats. Arizona is averaging only 2.4 runs per game in the last five, down from 4.4 for the season, with their slash line falling across the board (.170/.195/.352). The D-backs have a .708 OPS against right-handers in 2022. With a .823 OPS over 371 at-bats, Daulton Varsho has been their best hitter against right-handers.


San Diego is 42-35 in road games in 2022, scoring 4.8 runs per game while allowing 4.5 runs. Arizona has gone 39-38 at their home park this season, averaging 4.4 runs per game while surrendering 4.5. In the last 10 games at Chase Field between the NL West rivals, San Diego is 6-4 with an average scoreline of 4.7-3.3.


The Padres are second in the NL West, 21 games behind the division-leading Dodgers. They currently occupy one of the Wild Card spots, sitting third with a magic number of zero. The Diamondbacks are fourth in the NL West, 32 games behind the Dodgers. They are sixth in the Wild Card race, 11 games out of a postseason position.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

San Diego Padres (-160)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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