Free MLB Picks Today: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles 9/28/22

Free MLB Picks Today: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles 9/28/22
Wed 28th September 2022

Rafael Devers will be looking to extend his 15-game on-base streak as the Boston Red Sox (+170) host the Baltimore Orioles (-200) at Fenway Park on Wednesday. The early total was set at 9 runs. The Red Sox (73-81) evened up the series 1-1 after winning 13-9 on Tuesday, their eighth head-to-head victory in 17 games this season. Reliever Matt Strahm threw 1.2 innings to get the win. Triston Casas went 3 for 4 with a home run, three runs, and two RBIs in the win. Devers added two RBIs on two hits. Anthony Santander was 3 for 5 with two home runs and a double for the Orioles (80-74). He scored three runs and drove in three. Ramon Urias went 3 for 3 with a solo home run and a triple.

ON THE MOUND

Dean Kremer (8-5, 3.07 ERA) is slated to start for Baltimore. The right-hander had a complete game shutout in his last start in a 6-0 road victory over the Astros on Friday. He allowed only four hits, striking out six and walking two en route to the win. Over two previous starts against the Red Sox this season, Kremer has allowed five earned runs over 11 innings (0-1, 4.09). He has struck out 10 and walked three. For Boston, lefty Rich Hill (7-7, 4.81 ERA) gets the start. He has made three appearances against the Orioles this season, all starts, giving up six runs over 13 innings (1-1, 4.15) with 16 strikeouts and five walks. In his last start on Friday, Hill took a no-decision on the road against the Yankees. He threw five innings and gave up four runs (3 ER) on five hits, striking out four and walking two in the 5-4 loss.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Baltimore has averaged 8.4 runs a game, up from their season average of 4.3, while slashing better across the board (.321/.367/.617). Against left-handed pitchers like Hill this season, the O’s have a .669 OPS. Santander is the team’s best performer against left-handers with a .911 OPS in 151 at-bats. Boston is averaging 6.0 runs per game in the last five, up from 4.6 for the season, with a better slash line (.269/.357/.444). The Sox have a .722 OPS against righties in 2022. With a .926 OPS over 387 at-bats, Devers has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Baltimore is 36-40 away from home in 2022, scoring 4.2 runs per game while allowing 4.4 runs. Boston has gone 38-38 in front of their home fans this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game while surrendering 5.3. In the last 10 meetings at Fenway Park, Boston is 6-4 with an average scoreline of 6.9-6.6.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Orioles are fourth in the AL East, 15 games behind the division-leading Yankees. They are fourth in the Wild Card race, three games out of third. The Red Sox are fifth in the AL East, 22 games behind the Yankees.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Baltimore Orioles (+100)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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