The Houston Astros (+105) are on the road to face the Baltimore Orioles (-125) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Sunday with the visitors looking to split the four-game series. The early total was set at 7.5 runs with the over a -115 favorite. The Astros (100-53) won 11-10 on Saturday for their first win of the series, their second head-to-head victory in six games this season. Rafael Montero threw one inning of relief to get the win, and Ryan Pressly pitched the ninth to pick up his 31st save. Jose Altuve was 1 for 3 with a home run, three runs, and two RBIs in the win. Yordan Alvarez added one run and one RBI on two hits. Anthony Santander went 3 for 5 with two home runs and three RBIs for the Orioles (79-72). Rougned Odor also went 3 for 5 with a home run, two runs, and three RBIs.
ON THE MOUND
Cristian Javier (10-9, 2.77 ERA) is in line to take the mound for Houston. The RHP threw five scoreless innings in his last start, a 5-0 home win over the Rays on Tuesday. He earned the win, giving up one hit while striking out six and walking four. Javier has made one previous appearance against the Orioles this season, a 2-0 home loss on August 26. He surrendered two runs on three hits over three innings, striking out four and walking one. For Baltimore, RHP Austin Voth (5-3, 4.32 ERA) gets the start. He has made two appearances against the Astros this season, including one start, giving up three runs over seven innings (0-1, 3.86) with four strikeouts and four walks. In his last start on Tuesday, Voth took the loss at home against the Tigers. He threw five innings and gave up two runs on six hits, striking out three, in the 3-2 defeat.
AT THE PLATE
Over the last five games, Houston has averaged 4.2 runs a game, a small drop compared to their season average of 4.6. Against righties like Voth this season, the ‘Stros have a .726 OPS. Kyle Tucker is the team’s biggest extra-base threat against right-handers with a .506 SLG in 337 at-bats. Baltimore is averaging 5.6 runs per game in the last five, up from 4.2 for the season, with an improved slash line (.279/.330/.413). The O’s have a .703 OPS against right-handers in 2022. With a .797 OPS over 395 at-bats, Cedric Mullins has been their best hitter against right-handers.
HOME AND AWAY
Houston is 50-30 away from Minute Maid Park in 2022, scoring 4.5 runs per game while allowing 3.3 runs. Baltimore has gone 44-33 at their home park this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game while surrendering 4.1. In the last 10 games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards between the teams, Houston is 6-4 with an average scoreline of 7.0-3.7.
STANDINGS UPDATE
The Astros lead the AL West by 16 games over the Mariners. Their magic number to clinch the division is zero. The Orioles are fourth in the AL East, 14 games behind the Yankees. They are fourth in the Wild Card race, four games out of a postseason position.
SportsTips’ MLB Pick:
Houston Astros (-165)
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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.
