Free College Football Picks Today: Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs North Carolina Tar Heels 11/12/22

Free College Football Picks Today: Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs North Carolina Tar Heels 11/12/22
Sat 12th November 2022

Two of the nation’s top scoring offenses are set to meet at Truist Field on Saturday, as the Wake Forest University Demon Deacons (6-3, 2-3 ACC) host the No. 15 University of North Carolina Tar Heels (8-1, 5-0 ACC). The Demon Deacons are 3.5-point favorites, and the total is 77.

North Carolina is coming off a tight 31-28 win over Virginia at David A. Harrison III Field at Scott Stadium last Saturday, their fifth straight victory. Drake Maye threw for 293 yards and two touchdowns. Elijah Green ran 22 times for 91 yards and a touchdown. Josh Downs caught 15 passes for 166 yards and a touchdown.

Wake Forest lost 30-21 to No. 21 North Carolina State at Carter-Finley Stadium last Saturday. Sam Hartman was 29 of 48 for 397 yards, two touchdowns, and three interceptions. Christian Turner carried eight times for 29 yards and a touchdown. A.T. Perry also scored once. He hauled in 12 receptions for 159 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Tar Heels won the only game between the teams last season, a 58-55 victory in November. Ty Chandler had four touchdowns for North Carolina. Sam Hartman tossed five touchdowns for Wake Forest, as A.T. Perry found the end zone twice.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Tar Heels are averaging 40.6 points per game for the season, ninth in FBS, and they are facing a Demon Deacons defense that has surrendered 27.3 PPG (78th). Meanwhile, Wake Forest has scored 36.9 points a game this season, 19th in the nation, and North Carolina is allowing 31.0 PPG (105th).

The Tar Heels rank as one of the nation’s top teams in passing yards per game (329.8, 6th), while they are 55th in rushing yards (167.0). The Demon Deacons are 70th in passing yards allowed per game (230.9) and 66th against the run (142.7).

Wake Forest has been one of the country’s top passing teams, averaging 308.6 passing yards per game (14th), while ranking 104th in rushing yards (123.3).

North Carolina’s defense has been susceptible through the air, as the Tar Heels are 120th in the country in passing yards allowed per game (277.6). Against the run, the Tar Heels are 104th (180.1).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through nine games, Drake Maye has thrown for 31 touchdowns (3 INT) and 329.3 yards per game to lead North Carolina in passing. In five away games this season, he has 13 TDs (3 INT) and an average of 323.6 yards passing. Drake Maye also leads the team in rushing with an average of 57.0 yards per game.

He has four touchdowns on the ground. Josh Downs is the Tar Heels’ leading receiver with 99.0 yards a game and eight TDs. Sam Hartman has 24 passing touchdowns (9 INT) with 302.9 yards per game through eight games to lead Wake Forest.

In four home games this season, he has thrown for 15 TDs (3 INT) and an average of 305.2 yards. Justice Ellison has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 50.3 yards a game through nine games.

He has four touchdowns. A.T. Perry has been the primary target in the Demon Deacons’ passing game. He has six touchdowns and a 79.0 yard per game average through nine appearances.

HOME AND AWAY

North Carolina is looking to remain unbeaten on the road this season in five games.

SportsTips’ College Football Pick:

UNC (+150)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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