Free College Football Picks Today: Liberty Flames vs New Mexico State Aggies 11/26/22

Free College Football Picks Today: Liberty Flames vs New Mexico State Aggies 11/26/22
Sat 26th November 2022

The New Mexico State University Aggies (4-6, 1-4 Away) and Liberty University Flames (8-3, 4-1 Home) face off Saturday at Williams Stadium for their regular season finales. The Flames are 24-point favorites, and the total is 51.

New Mexico State is coming off a crushing 45-14 loss to Missouri at Memorial Stadium at Faurot Field last Saturday. Diego Pavia threw for 76 yards and an interception. He also ran nine times for 50 yards. J.J. Jones III caught two passes for 38 yards.

Liberty lost 23-22 to Virginia Tech at Williams Stadium last Saturday. Kaidon Salter was 12 of 18 for 217 yards. Shedro Louis carried nine times for 64 yards. Noah Frith had four receptions for 74 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since November 2019, a 49-28 win for the Flames, their third straight win against New Mexico State.


The Aggies are averaging 19.3 points per game for the season, 117th in FBS, and they are facing a Flames defense that has surrendered 22.7 PPG (38th). Meanwhile, Liberty has scored 29.6 points a game this season, 59th in the nation, and New Mexico State is allowing 27.5 PPG (83rd).

The Aggies rank as one of the country’s worst teams in passing yards per game (142.9, 124th), while they are 79th in rushing yards (141.5). The Flames are 31st in passing yards allowed per game (199.9) and 52nd against the run (137.7).

Liberty is 75th in the country in passing yards per game (223.4) and 42nd in rushing (185.5). New Mexico State’s defense could prove challenging through the air, as the Aggies are 14th in the nation in passing yards allowed per game (183.7). Against the run, the Aggies are 95th (173.4).


Through nine games, Diego Pavia has thrown for four touchdowns (5 INT) and 82.9 yards per game to lead New Mexico State in passing. In five away games this season, he has two TDs (2 INT) and an average of 86.4 yards passing.

Star Thomas leads the team in rushing with an average of 40.5 yards a game over 10 games. He has four touchdowns on the ground. Justice Powers is the Aggies’ leading receiver with 40.4 yards a game. Johnathan Bennett has 12 passing touchdowns (9 INT) with 146.2 yards per game through 10 games to lead Liberty.

In four home games this season, he has thrown for five TDs (4 INT) and an average of 179.8 yards. Dae Dae Hunter has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 94.9 yards a game through nine games.

He has nine total touchdowns, eight rushing and one receiving. Demario Douglas has been the primary target in the Flames’ passing game. He has six touchdowns and an 81.7 yard per game average through 11 appearances.

SportsTips’ College Football Pick:

Liberty -24 (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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