Free College Football Picks Today: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Troy Trojans 11/26/22

Free College Football Picks Today: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Troy Trojans 11/26/22
Sat 26th November 2022

The Troy University Trojans (9-2, 6-1 SBC) and Arkansas State University Red Wolves (3-8, 1-6 SBC) face off Saturday at Centennial Bank Stadium for their regular season finales. The Trojans are 13.5-point favorites, and the total is 46.

Troy is coming off an impressive 34-16 win over Louisiana-Monroe at Larry Blakeney Field at Veterans Memorial Stadium last Saturday, their eighth straight victory. Gunnar Watson was 10 of 17 for 78 yards. Kimani Vidal ran 29 times for 242 yards and two touchdowns. Tez Johnson caught six passes for 42 yards.

Arkansas State lost 16-13 to Texas State at Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium last Saturday. James Blackman threw for 237 yards and a touchdown. Johnnie Lang carried 13 times for 36 yards and added four catches for 35 yards and a receiving TD. Daverrick Jenkins caught three receptions for 56 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since October 2020, a 38-10 win for the Trojans. Jacob Free threw two touchdowns for Troy.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Trojans are averaging 22.5 points per game for the season, 103rd in FBS, and they are facing a Red Wolves defense that has surrendered 29.9 PPG (102nd). Meanwhile, Arkansas State has scored 25.6 points a game this season, 82nd in the nation, and Troy is allowing 16.6 PPG (9th).

The Trojans rank as one of the nation’s worst teams in rushing yards per game (111.9, 114th), while they are 40th in passing yards (256.8). The Red Wolves are 102nd in passing yards allowed per game (251.6) and 73rd against the run (152.8).

Arkansas State has been one of the country’s least successful rushing teams, averaging 92.7 yards per game (124th), while ranking 72nd in passing yards (227.1). The Trojans are allowing 196.6 passing yards (29th) and 124.6 rushing yards per game (31st).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through 10 games, Gunnar Watson has thrown for nine touchdowns (9 INT) and 224.3 yards per game to lead Troy in passing. In five away games this season, he has three TDs (4 INT) and an average of 212.2 yards passing. Kimani Vidal leads the team in rushing with an average of 72.5 yards a game over 11 games. He has five touchdowns on the ground and one through the air.

Tez Johnson is the Trojans’ leading receiver with 73.4 yards a game and four TDs. James Blackman has 14 passing touchdowns (2 INT) with 225.1 yards per game through 10 games to lead Arkansas State. In five home games this season, he has thrown for eight TDs (1 INT) and an average of 206.0 yards.

Johnnie Lang has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 36.3 yards a game through 11 games. He has six total touchdowns, three rushing and three receiving. Seydou Traore has been a key target in the Red Wolves’ passing game. He has four touchdowns and a 55.5 yard per game average through 11 appearances.

HOME AND AWAY

Troy is looking for a fourth straight win away from Larry Blakeney Field at Veterans Memorial Stadium this season.

SportsTips’ College Football Pick:

Troy -13.5 (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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